Section: Overview
Overview
Key publications
Research funding
Supervising & teaching
Career

Key details

Areas of expertise

  • Taxation reforms
  • Migration policies
  • Skill shortage and labor market forecasting
  • Trade reforms
  • Agricultural policies

Not available to supervise research students

Not available for media queries

About Nhi Tran

Dr Nhi Tran is a Senior Research Fellow at the Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University.

Her expertise and research focus on the development and application of national and regional computer general equilibrium (CGE) models for the analysis of socio-economic impacts of various policy changes in Australia and overseas.

Examples of her work include:

  • the construction of dynamic CGE models with extensive fiscal detail for the Vietnamese Ministry of Finance, the Malaysian Ministry of Finance and the Italian Ministry of Economy and Finance
  • the construction of labour market forecasting models for Vietnam and Oman
  • the construction of a multiregional dynamic model of Australia with migration detail
  • modelling of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) in a dynamic regional CGE model for Australia.

 

The models were used to analyse a wide range of economic policies, including tax reform, fiscal stimulus package, trade liberalisation, climate change adaptation, rice land designation policy, labour market forecasts and immigration policies.

In the health economics field, she has participated in projects to use a global CGE model to assess the impacts of hypothetical pandemics, such as Ebola and influenza. She is an active member of the GTAP community, contributing the Vietnamese, Singapore and Malaysian databases to the GTAP 9.0 database.

Qualifications

  • PhD in Economics, Monash University, Australia, 2007
  • GradDip in Economic Teaching (Applied Economics for Policy Analysis), Fulbright Program, 2002
  • MA in International Business, Flinders Univeristy, Australia, 1999
  • BA, Ho Chi Minh City University, Vietnam, 1996
  • BSc, Mechanical Engineering, Leningrad Institute of Cinema Engineers, Russia, 1984

Key publications

Year Citation
2019 Dixon, P., Rimmer, M. T., & Tran, N. (190401). GTAP-MVH, A Model for Analysing the Worldwide Effects of Trade Policies in the Motor Vehicle Sector: Theory and Data. Centre of Policy Studies (CoPS), Victoria University.
2019 Nassios, J., Madden, J., Giesecke, J. A., Dixon, J., Tran, N., Dixon, P., Rimmer, M. T., Adams, P., & Freebairn, J. (190401). The Economic Impact and Efficiency of State and Federal Taxes in Australia. Centre of Policy Studies (CoPS), Victoria University.
2019 Dixon, P., Rimmer, M. T., & Tran, N. (190401). Creating a Disaggregated CGE Model for Trade Policy Analysis: GTAP-MVH. Centre of Policy Studies (CoPS), Victoria University.
2017 Dixon, J., & Tran, N. (171201). A decomposition and microsimulation analysis of occupational wage growth in Australia, 2010-2017. Centre of Policy Studies (CoPS), Victoria University.
2017 Giesecke, J. A., & Tran, N. (171001). The National and Regional Consequences of Australia's Goods and Services Tax. Centre of Policy Studies (CoPS), Victoria University.
2016 Zawalinska, K., Tran, N., & Poszajc, A. (161201). Planning R&D in a Post Centrally-Planned Economy: Assessing the Macroeconomic Effects in Poland. Centre of Policy Studies (CoPS), Victoria University.

Year Citation
2018 Giesecke, J. A., & Tran, N. H. (180101). The national and regional consequences of Australia s goods and services tax. Economic Record, 94(306), (255-275).

doi: 10.1111/1475-4932.12419

2018 Zawaliska, K., Tran, N., & Poszaj, A. (180101). R&D in a post centrally-planned economy: The macroeconomic effects in Poland. Journal of Policy Modeling, 40(1), (37-59).

doi: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2017.09.007

2016 Moss, R., Hickson, R. I., McVernon, J., McCaw, J. M., Hort, K., Black, J., Madden, J. R., Tran, N. H., McBryde, E. S., & Geard, N. (160923). Model-Informed Risk Assessment and Decision Making for an Emerging Infectious Disease in the Asia-Pacific Region. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 10(9),

doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005018

2015 Giesecke, J. A., Tran, N. H., Meagher, G. A., & Pang, F. (150101). A decomposition approach to labour market forecasting. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 20(2), (243-270).

doi: 10.1080/13547860.2014.964964

Research funding for the past 5 years

Please note:

  • Funding is ordered by the year the project commenced and may continue over several years.
  • Funding amounts for contact research are not disclosed to maintain commercial confidentiality.
  • The order of investigators is not indicative of the role they played in the research project.

Creation of GTAP_MVH
From: Foreign Affairs and International Trade, Canada
Investigators: Prof Peter Dixon
For period: 2018-2019
Not disclosed
Short Term Consultancy Services to Develop the New 2015 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM)
From: Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development
Investigators: Prof Philip Adams, Dr Elizabeth Roos, Prof Jonathan Horridge
For period: 2018-2019
Not disclosed
Modelling the impact of two macroeconomic scenarios on the Victorian economy: Mid-year update
From: Dept of Treasury and Finance
Investigators: Aspr Janine Dixon, Dr Jason Nassios
For period: 2018-2018
Not disclosed
Microeconomic Modelling of the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS)
From: National Disability Insurance Agency (NDIA)
Investigators: Prof Glyn Wittwer, Aspr Janine Dixon, Dr Jason Nassios
For period: 2018-2021
Not disclosed
Assessment of the economic consequences of net interstate migration to Queensland
From: Queensland Government
Investigators: Prof James Giesecke
For period: 2018-2018
Not disclosed
Modelling the Impact of Two Macroeconomic Scenarios on the Victorian Economy.
From: Dept of Treasury and Finance
Investigators: Dr Jason Nassios, Aspr Janine Dixon
For period: 2018-2018
Not disclosed

Queensland Treasury Economic Modelling.
From: Queensland Treasury
Investigators: Prof Glyn Wittwer, Prof Philip Adams, Prof James Giesecke
For period: 2017-2021
Not disclosed
Development and delivery of computable general equilibrium (CGE) training and coaching Program to conduct joint research using CGE modelling techniques in Vietnam
From: VSAID Governance for Inclusive Grouth (GIG) Program
Investigators: Prof James Giesecke, Prof Philip Adams
For period: 2017-2018
Not disclosed
Modelling of NSW Tax Policy Options
From: NSW Treasury
Investigators: Prof Peter Dixon, Prof Philip Adams, Prof James Giesecke, Aspr Janine Dixon
For period: 2017-2017
Not disclosed

Further development of DIAC-TERM: A multi-regional multi-sectoral dynamic model of the Australian economy with immigration detail.
From: Department of Immigration and Border Protection
Investigators: Prof James Giesecke, Aspr Janine Dixon
For period: 2016-2016
Not disclosed

Comparative Static CGE Model of the Thai Economy
From: Thammasat University
For period: 2015-2015
$10,909
A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of the Italian Economy
From: Sogei S.p.A.
Investigators: Prof Jonathan Horridge, Prof James Giesecke, Prof Glyn Wittwer
For period: 2015-2016
$55,441

Modelling of Ebola risk in the Asia-Pacific Region and its economic effects
From: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Australian Government (DFAT)
Investigators: Prof James Giesecke
For period: 2014-2015
$73,215
Updating the Victoria University Multi-Regional Model (VUMR)
From: Productivity Commission
Investigators: Prof Philip Adams, Prof Jonathan Horridge, Prof Glyn Wittwer
For period: 2014-2015
$136,364
Development of an Omani CGE model.
From: Sultan Qaboos University, Oman
Investigators: Prof Philip Adams, Prof James Giesecke, Prof Manh Hoang
For period: 2014-2015
$186,700

Supervision of research students at VU

Not available to supervise research students

Not available for media queries

Teaching activities & experience

Teaching at various CGE modelling courses organised by the Centre of Policy Studies in Melbourne and overseas. The courses include comparative static modelling, dynamic modelling, and regional modelling.

Careers

Details of this Researcher's career are currently unavailable.